The information available at the time was that CIG held end of year sales that raised millions. It had happened the last two years and was about to happen again. What analysis didn't spot this very simple and obvious fact? Analysis that was patently useless.
And that changes the analysis how exactly?
Pay attention. If whales weren't still giving them money AFTER they had already raised $65M which was to build the fully over-scoped game, the project would most likely be dead by now, as that was over two years ago.
When a Wall St analyst flags a stock as a sell, do you think it remains as a sell forever, or is it based on a "going concern" which can change at any time? That's how that works.
Your comment about being over budget are ridiculous when it's on record that they will use all money raised to make the game. Just because they stopped stretch goals at 65 million, doesn't mean that was the game's budget. The budget is set by the backers. The backers keep funding. The budget keeps increasing. It's quite simple. 'Late' could be argued the same.
That's pure an utter rubbish, and I'm sure you know it.
The full scope as of Nov 2014, was $65M. That's the budget. Just like when he asked for $2M on Kickstarter.
To suggest that he needed more, but just asked for less, is as ridiculous, as it is insane.
Backers giving money isn't increasing the budget; it's them buying stuff that's on sale. That's how DLC works. Except that in the case of Star Citizen, it's all pre-purchase with hopes that it actually ends up in the game. What makes you think if they weren't selling things, that backers would still be giving them money? How does that actually work?
Christ, even Roberts has gone on the record claiming that if the project was more than 2-3 years, it would be stale; and that the increased scope won't change the delivery schedule, and that....forget it, you know all this stuff already.
Saying 'if backers stopped giving them money' is like saying if the Earth's atmosphere suddenly had no oxygen we'd all die. Well duh! Why would anyone think funding would instantly dry up after making 30+ million a year for a couple of years? That's shockingly bad analysis. So you say in a way you were right...whilst being completely wrong! By an order of magnitude almost so far. 3 months projected, currently not far off being 30. And you say I should get a grip?
Either you're not very bright, are delusional, or you're just trolling us. You're changing the subject and making it about something else. Fact is they asked for an amount of money, then got more based on promises which were tied to the increase in scope. Beyond the scope, any additional money increases the budget.
It's amazing to me that you believe that a movie production with a $100M budget, that needs $50M more to complete, isn't over budget because the production company just happened to have an extra $50M lying around, or coming from loans and/or investments.
Companies are in the business of making money. The project didn't keep raising money on it's own by doing nothing.
During KS it raised money based on stretch goals to $6M.
After KS is continued raising money based on stretch goals to $65M
Then it continued raising money based on sales of JPEGs, which some of them turned into 3D models, which some of them ended up in the game. Now they're at $155M.
By all accounts, at $65M which was the
FULL AND COMPLETE BUDGET for the game, it's now $90.5M
OVER BUDGET. And that's an indisputable fact.
Like I've said before, we'll have to wait and see. There is no other option. We wait and if they collapse before producing games, you were right. If they don't and we're still here discussing the game and company in 12 months, then I guess you were wrong.
Why would I be wrong if we are here in 12 months? Not all scams are short term.
I would be wrong if they
ever shipped the game pitched. By the fact that they've cut out most of the original features, coupled with the fact that they have switched engines, raised more than my $150M projection etc, has proven me right already. Those were my
original claims since July 2015. The only thing left now is to see how long they last before they collapse because only zealots expects that there will ever be anything resembling a "game" coming from this train wreck.